The lifeline for the 
						future of Fiat's giant hometown plant, Mirafiori, have 
						been thrown into disarray once again with news that the 
						hard-fought deal to build a new-generation of SUVs at 
						the plant now hangs under a cloud. Newswires, including
						Bloomberg and WSJ, quoted "a person 
						familiar with the matter" saying that currency exchange 
						rates could scupper the deal.
						
						The deal to build a new generation of SUV, to be shared 
						equally by Jeep (to replace the Compass/Patriot) and 
						Alfa Romeo, came in mid-January after a long and 
						bruising battle with unions to make sweeping changes to 
						working practices before Fiat management would make a 
						commitment to the future of the threatened plant. At 
						present, production at the vast Turin plant is just a 
						trickle.In the 
						end, after much negotiation, a slender majority of staff 
						(54.1 percent) voted to accept the company's terms and 
						Fiat unveiled bold plans to build 280,000 vehicles a 
						year, safeguarding the plant's future with a 1 bllion 
						euro investment - although no visible progress has been 
						made on the plans in the intervening six months.
						
						This week, however, Fiat has indicated that, with most 
						of these new SUVs (a 'soft-roader' to be based on the C-Evo 
						Wide architecture) likely destined for North America, 
						the recent strength of the euro to the dollar has now 
						cast doubt on the viability of the plan. There may well 
						though be more to the story than just currency exchange 
						rates, as the fluctuations currently being experienced 
						by major global currencies mean it is virtually 
						impossible to predict the financial landscape by the 
						time these new SUVs reach production.
						Some 280,000 SUVs a 
						year was always an ambitious target, especially as it 
						was claimed half of these would be accounted for by Alfa 
						Romeo. This would have been an impressive achievement 
						for a brand that completely missed the SUV boom and 
						currently has a cloudy future. It was, and remains, a 
						challenging task to hook buyers into the concept of an 
						Alfa-badged SUV.
						With that in mind, a 
						50-50 split of the 280,000 unit projection was always a 
						remote possibility. It is thus logical that Jeep would 
						take the greater proportion if the two models wind up 
						being built Stateside. Fiat has consistently claimed 
						that Alfa Romeo will relaunch in the U.S., with the 
						latest proposed date now 2013. If this occurs - and it 
						is a big if - an Alfa-badged SUV might wind up finding 
						favour with buyers in North America. However, Jeep's 
						next-generation Compass/Patriot is expected to account 
						for most of its sales in its home market, and with the 
						off-road brand significantly less-well-regarded in 
						Europe than at home, it stands to reason that such a 
						competitively-priced model be built in the NAFTA region
						
						Meanwhile, this week's news raises another big 
						question-mark over the historic Turinese plant's 
						long-cloudy future. The same reports this week suggest a 
						'subcompact' car could be built at the plant instead, 
						taking the place of the SUVs. However, with Fiat's 
						record at delivering on promises, let alone speculation, 
						there is a good chance this is likely to be 'official 
						spin' to accompany the softening-up of the bombshell 
						news which could ultimately prove to be a fatal blow to 
						the plant.