20.12.2011 FIAT SLASHES HALF A MILLION UNITS OF ITS 2012 FORECASTS

FIAT FREEMONT 2012
FIAT FREEMONT 2012
FIAT FREEMONT 2012
FIAT FREEMONT 2012
FIAT FREEMONT 2012

The Fiat Group is increasingly relying on rebadged Chrysler Group vehicles (including the Dodge Journey - above - which is now labelled as the Fiat Freemont on selected European markets; seen here at this month's 36th Bologna Motor Show) to bolster its under-pressure sales volumes.

Fiat is slashing its sales target for 2012 by half a million units, a graphic illustration of the mounting problems that the Italian carmaker is facing as it continues to attempt to connect customers with its product range. The realignment of the targets has been reported by Automotive News.

The target for 2012 has now been revised to 2.2 million units, down from the existing target of 2.7 million which was outlined in the 2010 business plan. This represents a reduction of 18.5 percent. However, Fiat still believes that Chrysler Group can reach its already stated target of 2.4 million units next year.

The 2010-2014 Business Plan (unveiled in Turin during April 2010) also called for 2.3 million units to be sold by the Fiat Group during this year. This target will similarly be missed.

Over the first 11 months of this year, the Fiat Group has notched up 886,178 sales in Europe (EU27 + EFTA). When compared to its 1,004,518 sales during the same period in 2010, that represents an unwelcome fall of 11.8 percent. That also leaves the Fiat Group as the worst performer amongst the big nine carmaking groups in Europe for the year-to-date and the only one to suffer a double-digit fall. The most recent month on record, November, saw the Fiat Group’s market share shrinking to just 6.3 percent after total sales of 67,640 units, down 11.7 percent year-on-year. Outside Europe, the only market where Fiat has any serious brand representation is Brazil. For the year-to-date, it has 540,068 passenger cars sales (plus 144,415 LCV sales) in this market – a figure which is relatively flat on the same 11 months of 2010. Overall, Fiat has seen its Brazilian passenger car sales dip slightly this year, with its LCV sales slightly up.

The new target predicts a total of 4.6 million units in 2012 (2.2 million from FGA and 2.4 million from Chrysler Group). The 2010-2014 Business Plan called for 3.4 million units from Fiat Group in 2013 and 3.8 million in 2014, the final year of the presentation. The Fiat Group split this up as 2.1 million units for the Fiat brand, 500,000 equally for Alfa Romeo and Fiat Professional, 300,000 for Lancia, 100,000 for Jeep and an extra 200,000 contract manufacturing units.

However, Fiat has recently reinforced its long-standing reputation for failing to deliver on optimistic projections. Group CEO Sergio Marchionne, in particular, is earning a name in the industry for repeatedly missing his confidently-stated, but wild and ill-thought-out, targets.

The Fiat Group’s core problem stems from serious underinvestment in its product portfolio over the last five years, as well as an ongoing lack of serious effort devoted to reducing Fiat’s traditional reliance on Italy. The latter is a metric which is now suffering acutely, as the Italian market is one of those being squeezed by Europe’s sovereign debt crisis. However, while Fiat’s management seeks to use the euro’s woes as an excuse – suggesting that the delays represent a conscious decision to align new model launches with a ‘structural recovery’ in the marketplace – carmakers that continue to drive their strategy through a focus on product, such as Europe’s biggest brand Volkswagen, have gained significant ground this year.

On the plus side, Fiat should receive a real fillip from the new Panda throughout 2012, although for the first time this city car faces strong pressure in A-segment from VW’s new Up!, along with its Skoda- and SEAT-branded siblings. Fiat also has the benefit of the new Lancia Ypsilon and Alfa Romeo Giulietta, the forthcoming Fiat Ellezero, as well as the addition of some rebadged Chrysler Group models, plus continuing market demand for the Fiat 500. Its biggest problem, however, remains the decline of its most important model, the B-segment Punto, which has seen its share of the segment contracting to just 4.6 percent for the year-to-date. A successor will not appear until at least 2013, giving it a lifespan far longer than those of its immediate rivals. The delay in developing a replacement suggests Fiat has not heeded lessons elsewhere in its lineup, where market share lost to rivals with fresher lineups has proved extremely difficult to recoup.

According to AN, Fiat is basing its 2012 target on a European market total of 14.6 million units, up by around 700,000 units on this year’s expected total of 13.7 million. Total European sales are likely to be below this, putting further pressure on the targets.

 

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